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Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh conducts a news conference after a meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday, June 17, 2026.
Tom Williams | CQ-Roll Call, Inc. | Getty Images
U.S. Treasury yields rose on Wednesday, as investors weighed more data and looked clues on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note — the main benchmark for mortgages, auto loans and credit card debt — was 7 basis points higher at 4.493% at 9:12 a.m. ET.
The shorter-term 2-year note added 5.4 basis points to trade at around 4.193%, while the yield on the 30-year Treasury was up by 8 basis points at 4.982%.
Newly appointed Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh was speaking at the European Central Bank's annual policy forum in Sintra, Portugal, on Wednesday. Investors were monitoring the talk for clues on what lies ahead for the Fed's monetary policy agenda.
Markets are currently pricing in a 66.3% chance of the Fed keeping rates steady at its July meeting, and a 66.9% chance that it enacts at least a quarter-point hike at the subsequent FOMC meeting in September, according to the CME's FedWatch tool.
Traders also weighed new employment data, with private payrolls rising by 98,000 in June — less than a Dow Jones consensus of 110,000. The numbers come ahead of the government's monthly jobs report due Thursday morning.
